Today, sophisticated modelling and risk analysis can largely anticipate crises, whether man-made or natural. However, such tools have yet to translate into a change in the way the international community operates. National and international actors continue to focus their financial and human resources on costly crisis response and post-conflict interventions rather than increasing preparedness and reducing vulnerability.

Strengthening local and national response in risk-prone countries outside of crises must be a priority. Investment in data and risk analysis should be increased and action taken early to prevent and mitigate crises.